Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 11.702676 13.134770 14.715765 16.598048 18.787586 21.265711 24.298964
2025-11-02 9.598237 11.423688 13.592786 16.386285 19.926321 24.314231 30.245682
2025-11-09 8.334964 10.309246 12.772639 16.119518 20.622613 26.581647 35.254380
2025-11-16 7.457620 9.508881 12.170023 15.946230 21.285540 28.753856 40.344199
2025-11-23 6.695408 8.749300 11.499705 15.545316 21.509062 30.255939 44.615389
2025-11-30 6.174290 8.248727 11.107627 15.453811 22.114304 32.331794 50.042146
2025-12-07 5.584088 7.592096 10.423543 14.843908 21.836160 32.969001 53.171155
2025-12-14 5.038383 6.951361 9.701247 14.092199 21.229250 32.965572 55.141869
2025-12-21 4.680593 6.554398 9.301268 13.790108 21.294679 34.060445 59.243674
2025-12-28 4.768409 6.820740 9.915247 15.145101 24.258283 40.564294 74.912453
2026-01-04 4.607381 6.693570 9.904932 15.469618 25.473409 44.078702 85.331811
2026-01-11 4.313411 6.338528 9.503933 15.092051 25.376374 45.074819 90.519672
2026-01-18 4.195665 6.263048 9.563417 15.542589 26.915131 49.629255 105.129534
2026-01-25 3.965603 5.991852 9.279944 15.358782 27.226029 51.736888 114.503925
2026-02-01 3.746371 5.723206 8.979266 15.111731 27.375609 53.513294 123.500721
2026-02-08 3.561590 5.499619 8.738665 14.951790 27.678128 55.670675 134.120900
2026-02-15 3.358399 5.232675 8.403796 14.581496 27.496114 56.684741 141.813158
2026-02-22 3.216134 5.061075 8.225293 14.496956 27.912379 59.182978 154.676048
2026-03-01 3.013174 4.773726 7.821227 13.933234 27.215084 58.844326 158.610375
2026-03-08 2.805575 4.468473 7.367999 13.237851 26.154792 57.447646 158.775932
2026-03-15 2.670992 4.285190 7.128145 12.958207 26.013221 58.408407 167.267888
2026-03-22 2.750988 4.486102 7.611702 14.211673 29.592821 69.946892 218.033814
2026-03-29 2.700836 4.449054 7.642761 14.511560 30.930350 75.583651 249.291730